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Thomas
02 May 2007 @ 23:02
I noticed today that petrol prices have broken the £1 per litre barrier. I haven't seen that in a long time. It's not such a big sign that there is a crisis going on, but it's definately a change from the 80-90p we've been pretty much steady on the past few months. I'm gonna be using less of my car from now on. Using it exclusively for getting to work. Lucky I'm a student and only work 2 days a week.

I'm really hoping that this crisis will bring out the social side to people around here. It's a very quiet neighbourhood at the moment. I don't really know my neighbours here, apart from the little old lady next door, Elsie. I don't know if she even realises what is going on right now, but it will surely start to affect her. Maybe I should go over later and talk to her.
If this crisis gets as big as I think it's gonna get, worldwide and not just local, then people around here need to start looking out for each other. Especially if my suspicions are correct and this shortage brings about a crime wave. People won't be safe on the streets on their own because not only the usual suspects, but more and more people will turn to mugging and robbery to get their cash for oil and petrol.

I'm going to go talk to Elsie now, and then maybe I'll knock on a few more doors and talk to my neighbours. We need to stick together right now. Share resources. Cut down on consumption. Having people over is not only a good way to socialise, but more bodies = more body heat = less need for energy used on heating. Little things like that will make a big difference if everyone takes heed.

The bible never said truer words: 'Love thy neighbour'
 
 
Thomas
01 May 2007 @ 18:29
So I was walking home from my lectures today, around 6pm, not too long ago, and usually around this time the traffic is pretty busy. Rush hour in this city is stupid just because of the inferior road systems we have here. But today I saw barely any cars. It was like a vision of the future. Seriously. It was scary. Maybe people have caught on to the oil shock and decided to stay off the roads and keep to public transport and paths. Who knows?

Over here in the UK we haven't been hit so hard just yet, still hovering around 93 - 94p, but prices have definately risen. It's only a matter of time before we start seeing £1+ per gallon. With my student budget and these raising prices I'm gonna be having a hard time seeing my parents any time soon. Home is 100 miles away from where I live to study, that usually costs about £10 one way in my car. I just don't know if i could make the same journeys if that were to raise to £20 or £30. That is the equivalent of a week or two's worth of meals for me. That said, in this house we have a gas stove, that could be the price of a few days worth of meals. I dread to think what the next bill will be.

Maybe it's time for us to go into complete lockdown? Tinned food, candle light, and so on.

I'm going to be heading to the supermarket in a few minutes to stock up on tinned foods and supplies to last me. I have to use my car to get there, so this'll have to be a rare visit.

I never thought there'd be so many implications of an oil shock. Sure, less cars on the road, less fossil fuels burnt, save the environment. It's all good, isn't it?
But I've realised that everyone will suffer. We all need to cook our food, we all need to get to work, we need to be able to afford all of these things. With prices rising so rapidly (the price of oil has tripled since 1996), people will be finding it harder and harder to get by. The rich will be living like the middle class today, the middle class will be living like the working class. I don't want to think what will happen to the working class.

The world needs to follow in the footsteps of Sweden. By 2020 they plan to be practically oil free. Alternative energy sources are available today, and they are not too difficult to implement. Hydrogen and ethanol powered cars are already close to being commercially available. Hydrogen is the most abundant element in the entire universe. Sure, it costs a lot to produce hydrogen as an energy source, as it is generally locked away in compounds. But with scientific progress advancing at the rate it is today, this price will soon drop. Coupled with rising fuel prices, it will be soon cheaper to run a car off hydrogen than off oil. And the plus side is that the only by product of a hydrogen fueled car is water. No more carbon footprint from cars, then. As long as the hydrogen is produced by some clean, renewable source. It can be done with wind, or hydroelectricitiy.
Until then, we can turn to ethanol. Ethanol burns clean. Well, essentially clean, compared to gasoline. In Brazil, 50% of the cars already run purely on ethanol. Some cars can even run on mixtures of ethanol and gasoline, which is probably the most likely scenario, to strike a happy medium between price and performance. The upside of using ethanol is that the economy of ethanol producing countries will dramatically increase.
I don't know the exact statistics, but I can see it becoming the new liquid gold.

These advances are thinking long run though. Oil prices are rising TODAY. Maybe tomorrow they will have doubled? Trebled?

We have to take action RIGHT THIS SECOND to prepare.
I've seen people blogging about survival kits, guidelines for coping in crises, things like that.

I emplore you all, go out RIGHT NOW to your nearest supermarket or grocery store and stock up on tinned foods.
That's exactly what I'm going to do now.
 
 
Thomas
01 May 2007 @ 13:44

There was a petrol crisis not too long ago in the UK. 2000 to be precise.

Now the crisis is nowhere near as big as this may become, but the BBC put together a few good guidelines for reducing your fuel consumption. Right now that is all the little man can do, other than rally his MP or sit and think.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/923726.stm

Reducing fuel consumption will mean that everyone will have some for use in emergencies, visits to hospital etc.

A good walk never did anyone any harm, and it'll get you some exercise while you're at it, not only will you save money for fuel, you'll also save money for that gym subscription you bought but never used.

 
 
Thomas
01 May 2007 @ 13:36
You know that everyone's been going on about reducing carbon emissions to save the environment?

What better way of doing that than increasing the price/reducing the supply?

If it costs more to produce the same emissions as we do now, then surely with increasing prices, people will look for alternate ways to do things, reducing emissions and saving the environment.

I'm starting to see the good side of this oil shock already.
 
 
Thomas
30 April 2007 @ 19:19
I knew something like this was coming. Even before Nico and 8TSOC. It was inevtiable.

It's open to speculation what caused this oil shock. Government? Terrorists? heck, Aliens?

This shock is a good thing. All the skeptics will now finally see that we DO need to do something, we need alternate energy sources.
Crime will no doubt increase proportional to oil prices. We've become that dependent. People will turn to thievery, mugging, even murder, just for a few more miles in their car.

I saw something in the paper today about a guy who started gambling, just for fun, but then he started to lose, and he thought the only solution was to gamble more, spend more. Until there came a point when he couldn't spend any more. So he started to steal. Only small things at first, but this soon escalated.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/g2/story/0,,2068361,00.html

I see this as a perfect analogy of our societies dependence on oil. Oil is the gambling. Today is the point where we can't spend anymore. Society, like the man in the news article, will descend into crime. Never mind global warming, we'll have global war on the streets.

I'm not looking forward to it. We need a quick fix for now to ease us into a life without oil, taking the gambling analogy this is like a loan. We use this to satisfy our needs while we come up with a cleaner energy source. Call this getting a job.

The world needs a job. We are the ones to write the applications..